I knew that I was all by myself when I posted my previous viewpoint on when Cat might have figured out 'for real' that Kara was Supergirl.
After re-reading everyone's postings again, I went back and watched all of the Season One scenes that were used to support the opinions expressed so far because, in the interests of fairness, it was important to do this (specifically: Episodes 4, 9, and 11 to 20). I tried to look at things from the point of view that Cat either still knew that Kara was Supergirl, or that she at least suspected it again, rather than having been completely fooled. Also, I paid specific attention to her facial expressions both during and after the exchanges that took place: in particular; when no one was looking, did Cat look as if she was pleased with herself for having pulled off her own charade or pretense, or did she look as if what she had just said or done had no hidden or ulterior motive to it?
However, there is always more than one way to go about solving a mystery, and when I posted my original contribution to this topic, I cautioned that I had used 'a different perspective' to look at it, although I didn't elaborate on what I meant by that. I've debated whether to post this update or not, but you all deserve an explanation to what must seem such a very strange and contradictory position that I've taken, so out of respect for any curiosity that any of you might have, here it is.
The approach I've usually taken towards looking at such possibilities is based on how mystery stories have been presented for decades now and solved in the past; simply put: "Facts in evidence".
Regardless of whether it's a written story, a novel, a movie, or a TV show - or whether it's a murder mystery, a 'who-done-it?', or any other kind of conundrum - when presented as entertainment they traditionally hold to a consistently simple premise: that the detective or person who is going to solve the mystery can not use any evidence that has not already been presented to the reader or viewer; and -
just as importantly - vice-versa.
Applying this principle to how Cat figured out Kara's secret, this means that the only evidence that Cat can have used to figure out that mystery is what she herself knows directly,
not what we know as viewers. In other words; unless the storytellers deliberately show us Cat actually doing or seeing something herself, then assuming that Cat automatically coulda/shoulda/woulda/must've known or seen anything is entirely presumptuous. So, whether anyone else uses this method or not for figuring things out, that's how I usually do it myself.
And because our individual viewpoints are all purely subjective rather than objective, this isn't about trying to change anyone else's opinions. And you won't have to go back and re-watch anything either; this is just about explaining why I'm so far out of sync with everyone else on this subject (sometime called "food for thought"
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But as for the actual episodes themselves, here's what I noted on watching them again.
A few people have attached some significance to how Cat had met J'onn J'onzz once before; when he showed up at CatCo after Leslie Willis's attack on Cat and Kara in Episode 1.04 "Livewire" and that Cat saw Kara talking with J'onn and therefore 'the reporter in her' must have suspiciously assumed that they knew each other.
But don't forget; at that time, even we viewers didn't know yet that Hank Henshaw was anyone other than the jerk who ran the DEO, and even we didn't find out the truth about his glowing red eyes ourselves until Episode 1.07. So, just meeting 'FBI agent Monroe', as Henshaw introduced himself (and "Agent Mulder" as Cat sardonically called him) wasn't anything that could have tipped Cat off to him being anything other than who or what he appeared to be. And please forgive me if I'm really stretching things here, but wouldn't you think that any detective or investigator, upon showing up at the scene of a crime, would naturally want to question the only two witnesses; namely Ms. Grant and Ms. Danvers? So why would there be anything about that brief encounter that would give Cat any reason at all to be suspicious of seeing 'Ker-rah' talking to the FBI Agent? Logically, there wouldn't.
Now jump forward to the meeting between Cat, Supergirl, and Kara in Cat's office in "Blood Bonds". Some contributors have suggested that Supergirl supposedly behaved much more like J'onn J'onzz than like the real Supergirl, and that 'the reporter' in Cat would have immediately picked up on that. However, (facts in evidence); at that time, Alex and Kara were the only two people on Earth who knew anything about J'onn's secret. No one else anywhere, not even the staff at the DEO, knew anything about Hank Henshaw being J'onn J'onzz, or about Martians or shapeshifters. WE viewers knew by then, but Cat couldn't possibly have known anything about J'onn, or shapeshifters, and that's why she didn't have any reason at all to suspect that the person who dropped by her office that night was anyone other than the real Supergirl (at least not on that night). And, for whatever it's worth, even we viewers didn't know that it wasn't really Supergirl until Kara walked in a few moments later. And Cat knew that Kara was an only-child, because in the "Livewire" episode Kara told Cat that her parents had 'died in a fire' when Kara was 13; Kara didn't say anything about having any other siblings, just her foster mom and sister, so it couldn't have been another family member who was covering for Kara that night.
And remember; the relationship between Cat and Supergirl was still very acrimonious at that point in time. Cat had written a scathing interview/editorial after her first encounter with Supergirl and, except for the two of them teaming up to stop Livewire, and Supergirl later thanking Cat after the earthquake in Episode 1.07, there was nothing else very friendly going on between them at that time. In fact, when Supergirl showed up in Cat's office that night, Cat's opening caustic comment was that Supergirl's suit (the three primary colours of red, yellow, and blue) "looks like a colour wheel threw up"; hardly a very complimentary way to start off a conversation. In watching this scene again I got the impression that, given the animosity that already existed between Cat and the real Supergirl at that time, and the reality that Cat actually knew very little about Supergirl herself at that point, Supergirl's reactions really weren't out of line with what Super/Kara's own reactions would have been; she ignored the sarcastic insult and got right down to business.
Also, in looking carefully at Cat's expressions and body language both during and after the meeting, I just can't see anything that looks to me as if Cat was thinking to herself "You thought you could fool me, but I'm fooling you instead", or anything like that. I know that everyone else commenting on this topic sees it otherwise, but I'm just not reading anything more into what I see than just what it appears to be; that the ruse worked and Cat was tricked. In fact, she was so embarrassed at being wrong (which she reluctantly admitted) that she even asked Kara not to mention the incident to anyone else, and I didn't get the impression that she was faking that.
This doesn't mean that she couldn't have had second thoughts later on, but IMO she just looks to have completely accepted that she was wrong about Kara at that time.
Some people have suggested that Cat might have been fooled, but figured it out again later and decided not to say anything to Kara because Cat realized by then how important it was to Kara to keep the secret to herself. I am in complete agreement with everyone on this belief; my only disagreement is about when that happened.
As another example: If Cat supposedly wasn't fooled and still believed that Kara was Supergirl, even after seeing Kara and Supergirl together in her office, then her understanding of Kara's desire to protect her 'super secret' is the antithesis of Cat's actions towards Kara over the next few months/episodes, including the second time that J'onn covered for Kara; when she was incapacitated by the Black Mercy in Episode 1.13. J'onn's performance in covering for Kara was as disastrous within the storyline as it was hilarious to see, entirely because of Melissa's impressive performance of pretending to be J'onn ineptly pretending to be Kara; it was wonderful to watch, and I would loved to have seen the 'gag reel' for those scenes. But (facts in evidence); this was still quite some time before Cat or anyone else in National City (or even at the DEO) found out anything about either J'onn J'onzz or Martians or shapeshifters; so regardless of how very strange Kara's actions were, or of 'the reporter in her', Cat realistically didn't have any logical reason to suspect that this was an impostor rather than the real Kara. In re-watching these scenes, I saw nothing that suggested to me that Cat had figured out that Kara was in trouble with something 'super' and that she should cut Kara's stunt-double some slack because of that. Quite the opposite; she threatened to fire Kara, and then later became so disgusted with Kara's quirky behaviour that she told her that “I can not stomach looking at you any longer” and angrily sent her home; something that I seriously doubt whether Cat would have done if she had suspected that it might have had something to do with Kara's secret about being Supergirl.
Kara's change in behaviour in "Falling" might have been interpreted as nothing more mysterious than having to fight for her job against the scheming Siobhan Smythe. And as for Cat defending Kara over Siobhan; honestly, Siobhan's consistently conniving and manipulative behaviour was her own undoing, and we all know how Cat detests disloyalty; so I didn't see it as Cat defending "assistant number two" nearly so much as her simply dealing with a detestable employee in her own inimitable way.
Another point which almost everyone has focused very heavily on is J'onn's revelation as the Martian Manhunter near the end of "Falling". True enough, WE got to see what happened on our TVs, but Cat wasn't there to see it happen herself and, even more importantly, nor were any members of the press there to televise what was happening on live TV (and I replayed this scene 4 or 5 times). And because we didn't seen the press there, there's no way that the event was being televised for Cat to see on a TV somewhere else. "Facts in evidence" therefore says that she didn't witness it happen, and therefore she did not have personal knowledge of it. And I also noticed that early into the following "Manhunter" episode we even saw the press announcing on the TV news that
they had no information of the 'mysterious unknown alien', and absolutely nothing at all was said about either Martians or shapeshifters at that time.
Admittedly, that doesn't mean that Cat didn't find out about it afterwards. There were civilians present, and they were shown recording what was going on with their cell phones. But given that it was at night, with less light than in the daytime, and that the phone-videos taken from a distance would not have been of press-camera quality, there's no reason to assume that the pictures were clear enough that, even if Cat might have seen the videos later on social media, she would have looked at them and instantly thought "Oh, a shapeshifter; that obviously must be the exact same person who helped Kara try to fool me months ago". Is that possible, yes, absolutely, but how likely is it? After all, if that information was 'out there' for everyone to see and know about, then why didn't the TV news announce that information?
Cat's forgiveness of Supergirl in that balcony scene probably had more to do with Supergirl going there to apologize to Cat - which she did - and Cat wanting to mend her relationship with Supergirl than anything to do with Kara. Admittedly, Cat's facial expressions could easily be interpreted in many different ways; but, again, that's where the fun of speculating comes in.
And don't forget; near the beginning of the following episode Cat was calling for 'Ker-rah' as if nothing was different, and when Winn reminded Cat that Kara had phoned in sick, Cat flippantly commented that "that was at 9 a.m.". Again, hardly supportive of someone who she might have surreptitiously been trying to help out, especially considering her forgiveness of Supergirl in the balcony scene in the previous episode.
While re-watching the "World's Finest" episode again, there could be a lot credibility to the suggestion by some that Cat started to suspect Kara again during Barry Allen's visit, and it's a very good point. But that was just days before Myriad happened, and it is still far removed from the meeting in Cat's office in "Blood Bonds" months before.
As for Myriad; when J'onn showed up at the old television station in "Better Angels" it was only the second time that Cat and J'onn had ever met in person, but she absolutely would have remembered 'Agent Mulder' from the "Livewire" event several months ago. But by then, it would have simply been added to all of the many other clues that she was already noticing during the Myriad crisis, and adding them to the other coincidences over the past few months.
At any rate, right or wrong, I believe that Cat fully knew Kara's secret by the end of Season One (again; the sudden and unexplained promotion, accompanied by a complete 180-degree change in attitude by Cat towards Kara), and therefore nothing that happened during Season Two had any affect on her beliefs towards Kara being Supergirl by that time.
So, for whatever it might be worth, that's how I looked at everything; not from the perspective of what we viewers knew, but from what Cat knew, and/or what she couldn't possibly have known about. In looking over everyone else's opinions posted so far, it's clear that I'm pretty much alone in my ideas about what might have happened and when and how, but I don’t mind; I've been all alone before, so that not a new experience.
I would love to see Cat make a return appearance on the show sometime (and maybe even some "Special Guest Star" appearances from time to time), and if that ever happens, then it's almost incumbent on her to let Kara (and all of us) know what really happened on her end. And if that happens, then it's quite possible that everyone else might be right in one way or another, in whole or in part, and I might find out that I'm totally off-base and completely wrong - and I still won't mind.
This topic certainly doesn't have anywhere near the importance of the 'saving Lena's soul' theme that was central to Season Five, and that's why I think of this as a 'fun topic'. As I said above, this is just about sharing ideas, so no one has to change their opinions about anything. But even if no one agrees with my perspectives, or with my relying on 'facts in evidence' for my viewpoints, I hope that this would just simply illustrate how different methods of solving puzzles can easily result in arriving at opinions that are so different from everyone else's. And if you understand that, then this posting has served its purpose. Thank you for reading it.